Hello, and welcome back to Metagame Mentor, your weekly guide to the top decks and latest Constructed developments on the path to the Pro Tour. This past weekend, nearly 1,900 invited players competed for cash prizes, event promos, and Premier Play qualifications across the Regional Championships for China and United States (Baltimore). Together, these high-stakes tournaments awarded 40 coveted invitations to Pro Tour Nauctis, set for February 26–28, 2027.
Pete Ingram is your Regional Champion for the United States! Congratulations to the Broodscale Combo player for defeating Curtis Lam (who will also be headed to the World Championship) in the finals to win #SCGBaltimore! https://t.co/2kjS2LTK12
— PlayMTG (@PlayMTG) September 14, 2026
Congratulations to Pete Ingram for taking the trophy in the United States and to Yuchen Liu for clinching victory in China! Both champions, along with US finalist Curtis Lam, earned invitations to Magic World Championship 33, set for December 2027. In this article, I'll break down the evolving Modern metagame, examine win rates across the major archetypes, and highlight the standout strategies that rose to the top.
The Modern Metagame and Win Rates
Modern is a nonrotating 60-card format based on expansion sets, core sets, and straight-to-Modern sets from Eighth Edition forward, save for cards on the banned list. The table below presents the combined raw metagame numbers from the Regional Championships for China and United States (Baltimore), alongside match win rates for each deck archetype (excluding mirror matches, byes, and draws).
| Archetype | Percentage of Field | Match Win Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1. Broodscale Combo | 12.6% ↑↑ | 55.3% ✓✓ |
| 2. Izzet Prowess | 10.9% | 50.2% |
| 3. Esper Goryo's | 8.5% | 48.1% |
| 4. Esper Blink | 7.8% | 51.6% |
| 5. Izzet Affinity | 6.2% | 52.8% |
| 6. Dimir Midrange | 5.4% | 46.5% |
| 7. Eldrazi Tron | 4.2% | 47.4% |
| 8. Devoted Druid Combo | 3.8% | 50.3% |
| 9. Eldrazi Trudge | 3.6% | 48.1% |
| 10. Boros Energy | 3.6% | 51.7% |
| 11. Boros Land Destruction | 2.7% | 54.2% |
| 12. Ruby Storm | 2.7% | 50.0% |
| 13. Domain Zoo | 2.6% | 46.7% |
| 14. Simic Neoform | 2.6% | 42.9% |
| 15. Living End | 2.1% | 48.9% |
| 16. Amulet Titan | 1.6% | 50.2% |
| 17. Jeskai Control | 1.5% | 50.7% |
| 18. Jeskai Energy | 1.4% | 48.7% |
| 19. Tameshi Belcher | 1.1% | 47.9% |
| 20. Other | 15.2% | 46.8% |
In this table, each archetype name hyperlinks to a top-performing decklist that closely reflects its aggregate build. The "Other" category includes decks with less than one percent of the winner's metagame, including Grixis Reanimator, Golgari Yawgmoth, Azorius Fiddlebender, Hollow One, Eldrazi Ramp, Simic Ritual, Azorius Control, Samwise Gamgee Combo, Golgari Necro, Jund Cosmogoyf, Dimir Mill, Eldrazi Aggro, Four-Color Ritual, Mono-Green Leyline, and more.
Blade of the Bloodchief
Kozilek's Command
Emrakul, the Promised End
Based on both popularity and performance, the weekend belonged to Broodscale Combo. While the rest of the metagame was similar to Magic Spotlight: The Hobbit, Broodscale Combo climbed from 6.3% of the field to 12.6%, making it the most popular archetype overall.
This rise is largely a reflection of how well-positioned the deck is in the current Modern metagame. Several weeks ago, it already performed excellently with a 54.3% win rate across Magic Spotlight: The Hobbit, and players took notice. At last weekend's Regional Championships, it improved further, reaching a 55.3% win rate. Broodscale Combo had the best performance across all archetypes in the table, and the 95% Clopper-Pearson confidence interval for Broodscale Combo's win rate sat strictly above 50%, indicating that it performed better than the field in a statistically significant sense.
For almost all other deck archetypes, win rates were closer to 50%, and considering the sample sizes, no strong conclusions could be drawn from the data. There was one exception: Simic Neoform significantly underperformed with a 42.9% win rate, suggesting that it is poorly positioned in today's Modern metagame.
Let's now take a closer look at the standout Modern strategies and stories to emerge from the first Regional Championship weekend of this cycle.
Broodscale Combo Dominated
As mentioned, Broodscale Combo was the most popular archetype and had the highest win rate. In the United States Regional Championship, it put four players in the Top 8 and eleven in the Top 32. Among the Top 32 finishers was Hunter Ovington, who originally put the archetype on the map by winning Magic Spotlight: Secret Lair in 2025. This weekend, he once again showed off his expertise with a Pro Tour invite-worthy finish. But the biggest success came in the Top 8, where four Broodscale Combo pilots battled for the trophy, and longtime competitor Pete Ingram ultimately emerged victorious with a well-tuned mono-green list.
Several weeks ago at Magic Spotlight: The Hobbit in Brisbane and Dallas, builds were more varied. At those events, three different Broodscale Combo versions reached the single-elimination rounds: One splashed red for
This version has the potential for consistently explosive openings. In particular, when
Devoted Druid Combo Preyed on Broodscale
While Broodscale Combo is a powerful strategy, it's not unbeatable. One of the best ways to combat the deck is with an even faster ramp-based creature combo strategy: Devoted Druid Combo. This deck exploits the relative lack of efficient early-game creature removal in Broodscale Combo, allowing it to leverage
Curtis Lam showcased that perfectly. Before reaching the finals in the United States, Lam had been paired against Broodscale Combo eight times and won every single one of those matches! Although Pete Ingram ultimately triumphed in the finals, the prevailing view was that the matchup was heavily unfavorable for Broodscale Combo.
Jeskai Energy Is Another Promising Answer
After the dominant weekend for Broodscale Combo, a natural question is how to defeat it. Looking at the round-by-round results, it appears that Jeskai Energy may also be a good answer. It has
The group of Jeskai Energy players posted a 15-8 (65%) result against Broodscale Combo this past weekend, which is promising. Ryan Neal went 10-5 with this build, defeating multiple Broodscale Combo players along the way. If Broodscale Combo becomes an even larger part of the metagame, Jeskai Energy could be a good choice to consider.
Esper Goryo's Takes China
Over in China, Broodscale Combo also put a player in the Top 8, while several Devoted Druid Combo players made deep runs. Yet their Top 8 looked different, with two Izzet Prowess decks and two Esper Goryo's decks emerging in the spotlight. In the end, Yuchen Liu's Esper Goryo's defeated Steven Li's Izzet Prowess in the finals. The success of these different strategies signals the diversity of competitive Modern right now.
Remarkably, Yuchen Liu's Regional Championship victory marked a back-to-back triumph! He went into the event as the reigning champion in China and defended his title against more than 400 competitors. That's a historical accomplishment. While Liu is not the first player to win multiple Regional Championships—Pedro Perrini, Muhan Yu, Samuel Chang, Ma Noah, and Liang Jianwei have also accomplished that—he became the first player to earn victories in the same region's championship in consecutive cycles.
Jeskai Blink Qualifies for the Pro Tour
Most of the deck archetypes finding success were the popular ones that were registered by at least 1% of the field. Nevertheless, several off-meta brews also found success. For example, Nick Cowden went 11-3-1 with Jeskai Blink, finishing 17th at the United States Regional Championship and earning a Pro Tour invite. Across the United States and China, only three of the nearly 1,900 competitors submitted a Jeskai Blink deck, making Cowden's finish particularly impressive.
The list features cards, like
Jeskai Ascendancy Makes Its Mark
Another spicy deck that earned a Pro Tour invite was Jeskai Ascendancy. Ben Katz went 11-3-1 with the list shown above, finishing 29th at the United States Regional Championship. This deck can go infinite when
Across the United States and China, only two of the nearly 1,900 competitors submitted a Jeskai Ascendancy deck, so Katz's result is another example of an unexpected deck finding success. In Modern, anything is possible, and you can gain a significant edge by knowing your deck and the matchups inside and out.
Four-Color Ritual Emerged
The final Modern deck I'd like to highlight from this past weekend is Four-Color Ritual. Only four players brought it, but among all archetypes with at least four pilots, it posted the highest win rate overall: 67.5% (with a 4-1 match result versus Broodscale Combo). In particular, Kangxing went 7-2 at China's Regional Championship, finishing in 11th place.
The deck aims to interact in the early turns through
What's Next for Modern?
The first Regional Championship weekend of this cycle made one thing clear: Broodscale Combo is the deck to beat. Yet it also showed that the deck is far from unbeatable. Devoted Druid Combo and Jeskai Energy both performed well against it, while a range of unconventional strategies, including Jeskai Blink, Jeskai Ascendancy, and Four-Color Ritual, demonstrated that there is still plenty of room for innovation in Modern.
After a small break over the next two weekends, the remaining schedule for this round of Modern Regional Championships, with corresponding Melee links, is as follows:
- October 2–4: Canada and Japan/Korea
- October 9–11: United States (Los Angeles), Europe/Middle East/Africa, Mexico/Central America/Caribbean
- October 16–18: Southeast Asia
- October 23–25: South America and Australia/New Zealand
- October 31–November 1: Chinese Taipei
The next few weekends will reveal whether Broodscale Combo can maintain its position at the top or whether the rest of the format can adapt. I can't wait to see how Modern evolves as these tournaments unfold!